No short consideration again until risk-off alarm triggers. I’m considering long ARKK if it can close above 81. This will be the primary trade IF market resumes melt up
Thanks for the feedback. I have reported my trades in segments (ie. 1/3, 3/4, full, overweight) to give readers a gauge in my confidence. I’ll be making some adjustments in the new year to how trades (ETF + individual trades) can be tracked and referenced through 2026. I’ll consider the size % detail.
Quality update. Thanks for keeping it real
Nice!
So Tom I read your well detailed report but in all frankness tomorrow spx do you long or short? I am sorry but I don’t see any clear guidance.
No short consideration again until risk-off alarm triggers. I’m considering long ARKK if it can close above 81. This will be the primary trade IF market resumes melt up
Ok thank you. Having said that your risk off alarm was in a way off again at least for past week.
The risk of criteria flipping from “off” to “on” always lags the equity low.
Nice update. Are you reporting what % of your portfolio you are investing into your stock equity positions?
If you did, it would make a huge difference in how closely I could place confidence in your recommendations.
Thanks for the feedback. I have reported my trades in segments (ie. 1/3, 3/4, full, overweight) to give readers a gauge in my confidence. I’ll be making some adjustments in the new year to how trades (ETF + individual trades) can be tracked and referenced through 2026. I’ll consider the size % detail.
Individual trades range from 2-15%, wide range.
I was most interested in how you personally achieved a 33% return thus far…figured you had a system preference to achieve that.
Majority of this year performance comes from ARKK, other notable mover were the three BABA TCEHY CPNG.